BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Mount Ayr

Class: 1A Class Rank: 20 Conference: 1A-7 Record: (19-12-0) Overall: (74-32-0) Overall Strength =   77.62

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/26/2011 Home    W      47.94  20  12   2A 54 ( 15- 76-  0) Osceola Clarke        -29.59     37.59                      
 2 09/02/2011 Away    L      61.19  34  36    8 24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford               -16.33     14.33                      
 3 09/09/2011 Home    L      44.13  12  34   2A 36 ( 44- 48-  0) Des Moines Christian  -33.40     11.40                      
 4 09/16/2011 Away    W      60.10  28  20    A 51 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley        -17.42     25.42                      
 5 09/23/2011 Home    W      76.27  35   6    A 52 ( 51- 41-  0) Corydon Wayne          -1.26     30.26                      
 6 09/30/2011 Away    W      85.67  47   7   1A 51 ( 18- 72-  0) West Central Valley     8.14     31.86                      
 7 10/07/2011 Home    L * *  59.77  33  40   1A 32 ( 47- 47-  0) Leon Central Decatur  -17.76     10.76                      
 8 10/14/2011 Home    L      41.31  12  52   1A 15 ( 68- 31-  0) Panora Panorama       -36.22     -3.78                      
 9 10/21/2011 Away    W * *  80.36  52  41   1A 34 ( 52- 43-  0) Pleasantville           2.83      8.17                      
10 10/26/2011 Away    L      48.21   7  47    A  5 ( 85- 26-  0) CB St Albert          -29.32    -10.68                      
11 08/24/2012 Home    W      72.53  48  24    A 51 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley         -5.00     29.00                      
12 08/31/2012 Away    W      90.19  41  14    8 24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford                12.67     14.33                      
13 09/07/2012 Home    W     105.88  48   7   2A 38 ( 38- 56-  0) Clarinda               28.36     12.64                      
14 09/14/2012 Away    W * *  89.16  54  16   1A 48 ( 34- 59-  0) Colfax-Mingo           11.63     26.37                      
15 09/21/2012 Away    W      87.70  25   7   2A 36 ( 44- 48-  0) Des Moines Christian   10.17      7.83                      
16 09/28/2012 Home    W     104.02  25  13   1A  2 (101- 19-  0) Van Meter              26.49    -14.49                      
17 10/05/2012 Home    W * *  83.77  41  24   1A 32 ( 47- 47-  0) Leon Central Decatur    6.24     10.76                      
18 10/12/2012 Away    W      82.62  19   7    A 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Ogden                   5.10      6.90                      
19 10/19/2012 Home    W * * 101.70  45  29   1A  7 ( 70- 36-  0) Pella Christian        24.18     -8.18                      
20 10/24/2012 Home    W      63.10  28   7   1A 51 ( 18- 72-  0) West Central Valley   -14.43     35.43                      
21 10/29/2012 Home    W      74.05  21  14    A 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Ogden                  -3.47     10.47                      
22 11/02/2012 Away    L      60.21   0  28    A  5 ( 85- 26-  0) CB St Albert          -17.32    -10.68                      
23 08/30/2013 Away    W      96.10  44   0    A 51 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley         18.58     25.42  ND                  
24 09/06/2013 Home    W      88.62  42  13    8 24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford                11.10     17.90  ND                  
25 09/13/2013 Away    W      80.45  15   3   2A 38 ( 38- 56-  0) Clarinda                2.93      9.07  ND                  
26 09/20/2013 Home    W * *  95.58  61  13   1A 48 ( 34- 59-  0) Colfax-Mingo           18.06     29.94                      
27 09/27/2013 Home    W     101.13  35   0   2A 36 ( 44- 48-  0) Des Moines Christian   23.60     11.40                      
28 10/04/2013 Away    L      81.59   0  14   1A  2 (101- 19-  0) Van Meter               4.06    -18.06                      
29 10/11/2013 Away    W * *  91.34  34  13   1A 32 ( 47- 47-  0) Leon Central Decatur   13.81      7.19                      
30 10/18/2013 Home    L      58.05  22  31    A 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Ogden                 -19.47     10.47                      
31 10/25/2013 Away    W * * 117.28  35   7   1A  7 ( 70- 36-  0) Pella Christian        39.75    -11.75                      
32 10/30/2013 Away    W     107.88  30   7   1A 15 ( 68- 31-  0) Panora Panorama        30.35     -7.35                      
33 11/04/2013 Away    L      75.59  14  34   1A  2 (101- 19-  0) Van Meter              -1.94    -18.06                      
34 08/29/2014 Away    L      45.54   8  39   2A 25 ( 63- 41-  0) Albia                 -31.98      0.98                      
35 09/05/2014 Away    W      84.58  42  14   2A 50 ( 30- 61-  0) Shenandoah              7.05     20.95                      
36 09/12/2014 Home    W      64.39  63  22   ZZ 56 (  5- 68-  0) Clarinda Academy      -13.14     54.14                      
37 09/19/2014 Home    W      97.34  62  12    8 40 ( 33- 58-  0) Martensdale-St Marys   19.81     30.19                      
38 09/26/2014 Away    W      80.10  42  14    A 51 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley          2.58     25.42                      
39 10/03/2014 Home    W      83.62  38  14    8 24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford                 6.10     17.90                      
40 10/10/2014 Away    W      93.49  49  26    A 28 ( 54- 44-  0) Earlham                15.96      7.04                      
41 10/17/2014 Home    W * * 119.79  61   7   1A 34 ( 52- 43-  0) Pleasantville          42.26     11.74                      
42 10/24/2014 Home    W     122.19  79   0    8 46 ( 40- 55-  0) Southeast Warren       44.67     34.33                      
43 10/29/2014 Home    W * * 103.58  63   7   1A 48 ( 34- 59-  0) Colfax-Mingo           26.06     29.94                      
44 11/03/2014 Home    W      64.12  45  14   1A 53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren   -13.40     44.40                      
45 11/07/2014 Home    W     110.92  52   8    A 28 ( 54- 44-  0) Earlham                33.39     10.61                      
46 11/14/2014 Neutral L      63.53   7  28    A  7 ( 73- 33-  0) Logan-Magnolia        -14.00     -7.00                      
47 08/28/2015 Home    L      42.97   6  36   2A 25 ( 63- 41-  0) Albia                 -34.55      4.55  ND                  
48 09/04/2015 Home    L      52.00  18  19   2A 50 ( 30- 61-  0) Shenandoah            -25.52     24.52  ND                  
49 09/11/2015 Away    W      67.96  41   0   ZZ 56 (  5- 68-  0) Clarinda Academy       -9.57     50.57                      
50 09/18/2015 Away    W     113.91  63   0    8 40 ( 33- 58-  0) Martensdale-St Marys   36.38     26.62                      
51 09/25/2015 Home    W     109.53  61   0    A 51 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley         32.00     29.00                      
52 10/02/2015 Away    W      91.19  41  13    8 24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford                13.67     14.33                      
53 10/09/2015 Home    W     108.92  42   0    A 28 ( 54- 44-  0) Earlham                31.39     10.61                      
54 10/16/2015 Away    W * *  79.36  24  14   1A 34 ( 52- 43-  0) Pleasantville           1.83      8.17                      
55 10/23/2015 Away    W      80.76  46  12    8 46 ( 40- 55-  0) Southeast Warren        3.24     30.76                      
56 10/28/2015 Home    W      84.62  37  12    8 24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford                 7.10     17.90                      
57 11/02/2015 Home    W * *  69.58  42  20   1A 48 ( 34- 59-  0) Colfax-Mingo           -7.94     29.94                      
58 11/06/2015 Home    W      87.37  34  15    A 24 ( 61- 39-  0) Lynnville-Sully         9.84      9.16                      
59 11/13/2015 Neutral L      72.19  35  36    A 21 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield        -5.34      4.34                      
60 08/26/2016 Home    W      83.53  35   0    A 51 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley          6.00     29.00  Game ended after 2 quarters by mutual agreement of coaches weather ND
61 09/02/2016 Away    W      74.22  27  17    A 38 ( 38- 36-  0) Southwest Valley       -3.31     13.31  ND                  
62 09/09/2016 Away    L * *  54.34  13  29   1A 32 ( 47- 47-  0) Leon Central Decatur  -23.19      7.19                      
63 09/16/2016 Home    W      69.00  34   7    A 57 ( 12- 70-  0) Woodward Academy       -8.52     35.52                      
64 09/23/2016 Home    L * *  37.70  14  62   1A  7 ( 70- 36-  0) Pella Christian       -39.82     -8.18                      
65 09/30/2016 Away    L * *  29.36   0  40   1A 34 ( 52- 43-  0) Pleasantville         -48.17      8.17                      
66 10/07/2016 Home    W      90.02  28  14   1A 19 ( 62- 35-  0) Woodward-Granger       12.50      1.50                      
67 10/14/2016 Away    W      90.70  49  28   2A 36 ( 44- 48-  0) Des Moines Christian   13.17      7.83                      
68 10/21/2016 Home    L * *  51.51  12  27   1A 33 ( 47- 46-  0) Truro Interstate-35   -26.01     11.01                      
69 08/25/2017 Away    W     102.10  58   8    A 51 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley         24.58     25.42  ND                  
70 09/01/2017 Home    L      52.64   6  14    A 38 ( 38- 36-  0) Southwest Valley      -24.88     16.88  ND                  
71 09/08/2017 Home    L * *  54.77  22  34   1A 32 ( 47- 47-  0) Leon Central Decatur  -22.76     10.76                      
72 09/15/2017 Away    W      61.57  48  32    A 57 ( 12- 70-  0) Woodward Academy      -15.95     31.95                      
73 09/22/2017 Away    L * *  47.28  14  56   1A  7 ( 70- 36-  0) Pella Christian       -30.25    -11.75                      
74 09/29/2017 Home    L * *  52.79  20  33   1A 34 ( 52- 43-  0) Pleasantville         -24.74     11.74                      
75 10/06/2017 Away    L      63.59   6  22   1A 19 ( 62- 35-  0) Woodward-Granger      -13.93     -2.07                      
76 10/13/2017 Home    W     120.13  54   0   2A 36 ( 44- 48-  0) Des Moines Christian   42.60     11.40                      
77 10/20/2017 Away    L * *  61.08  25  34   1A 33 ( 47- 46-  0) Truro Interstate-35   -16.44      7.44                      
78 08/24/2018 Away    W      88.10  36   0    A 51 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley         10.58     25.42  ND                  
79 08/31/2018 Home    L * *  51.51  13  28   1A 33 ( 47- 46-  0) Truro Interstate-35   -26.01     11.01  ND                  
80 09/07/2018 Away    W * *  78.34  20  12   1A 32 ( 47- 47-  0) Leon Central Decatur    0.81      7.19  ND                  
81 09/14/2018 Home    W      41.94  16  14   2A 54 ( 15- 76-  0) Osceola Clarke        -35.59     37.59  ND                  
82 09/21/2018 Away    W      70.67  54  29   1A 51 ( 18- 72-  0) West Central Valley    -6.86     31.86                      
83 09/28/2018 Home    W      89.31  21  13   1A 15 ( 68- 31-  0) Panora Panorama        11.78     -3.78                      
84 10/05/2018 Home    W      86.88  28   6   2A 38 ( 38- 56-  0) Clarinda                9.36     12.64                      
85 10/12/2018 Away    L      66.59   6  35   1A  2 (101- 19-  0) Van Meter             -10.94    -18.06                      
86 10/19/2018 Home    W      84.88  43  14   ZZ 27 ( 14- 31-  0) Guthrie Center Adair    7.35     21.65                      
87 10/26/2018 Away    L * *  35.08   0  35   1A 33 ( 47- 46-  0) Truro Interstate-35   -42.44      7.44                      
88 08/30/2019 Home    W      70.53  28   6    A 51 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley         -7.00     29.00  ND                  
89 09/06/2019 Away    W * *  73.08   3   0   1A 33 ( 47- 46-  0) Truro Interstate-35    -4.44      7.44  ND                  
90 09/13/2019 Home    W * * 101.77  49  14   1A 32 ( 47- 47-  0) Leon Central Decatur   24.24     10.76  ND                  
91 09/20/2019 Away    W      85.51  49   7   2A 54 ( 15- 76-  0) Osceola Clarke          7.98     34.02  ND                  
92 09/27/2019 Home    W      83.10  41   0   1A 51 ( 18- 72-  0) West Central Valley     5.57     35.43  called at halftime due to lightning
93 10/04/2019 Away    L      76.88   6  14   1A 15 ( 68- 31-  0) Panora Panorama        -0.65     -7.35                      
94 10/11/2019 Away    W     100.45  35   3   2A 38 ( 38- 56-  0) Clarinda               22.93      9.07                      
95 10/18/2019 Home    L      64.02   0  28   1A  2 (101- 19-  0) Van Meter             -13.51    -14.49                      
96 10/25/2019 Away    W      82.45  39  16   ZZ 27 ( 14- 31-  0) Guthrie Center Adair    4.92     18.08                      
97 11/01/2019 Away    L      59.07  22  56   1A  3 ( 81- 27-  0) South Cent Calhoun    -18.45    -15.55                      
98 08/28/2020 Home    W     101.97  36   7   2A 25 ( 63- 41-  0) Albia                  24.45      4.55  ND                  
99 09/04/2020 Away    W      80.10  41  13    A 51 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley          2.58     25.42  ND                  
100 09/11/2020 Away    L * *  63.36   7  13   1A 34 ( 52- 43-  0) Pleasantville         -14.17      8.17                      
101 09/18/2020 Home    W * *  96.58  57   8   1A 48 ( 34- 59-  0) Colfax-Mingo           19.06     29.94                      
102 09/25/2020 Home    W * * 106.70  28   7   1A  7 ( 70- 36-  0) Pella Christian        29.18     -8.18                      
103 10/02/2020 Away    W * *  90.08  26   6   1A 33 ( 47- 46-  0) Truro Interstate-35    12.56      7.44                      
104 10/09/2020 Away    W * *  77.34  21  14   1A 32 ( 47- 47-  0) Leon Central Decatur   -0.19      7.19                      
105 10/23/2020 Home    W * *  72.51  20  14   1A 33 ( 47- 46-  0) Truro Interstate-35    -5.01     11.01                      
106 10/30/2020 Home    L      45.92  17  42   1A 29 ( 51- 46-  0) Underwood             -31.60      6.60                      
      Averages              77.62  31.5 18.0

Best game:  122.19 = 79 point win over Liberty Center Southeast Warren
Worst game:  29.36 = 40 point loss to Pleasantville
Team stdev:  21.15