BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Mount Ayr

Class: 1A Class Rank: 21 Conference: 1A-7 Record: (19-12-0) Overall: (74-32-0) Overall Strength =   77.47

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Home    W    47.83  20  12   2A  54 ( 15- 76-  0) Osceola Clarke        -29.55     37.55                      
  2 09/02/2011 Away    L    61.04  34  36    8  24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford               -16.33     14.33                      
  3 09/09/2011 Home    L    43.96  12  34   2A  37 ( 44- 48-  0) Des Moines Christian  -33.41     11.41                      
  4 09/16/2011 Away    W    59.94  28  20    A  52 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley        -17.44     25.44                      
  5 09/23/2011 Home    W    75.70  35   6    A  53 ( 51- 41-  0) Corydon Wayne          -1.68     30.68                      
  6 09/30/2011 Away    W    85.52  47   7   1A  51 ( 18- 72-  0) West Central Valley     8.15     31.85                      
  7 10/07/2011 Home    L *  59.61  33  40   1A  33 ( 47- 47-  0) Leon Central Decatur  -17.76     10.76                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    L    41.18  12  52   1A  16 ( 68- 31-  0) Panora Panorama       -36.20     -3.80                      
  9 10/21/2011 Away    W *  80.21  52  41   1A  35 ( 52- 43-  0) Pleasantville           2.83      8.17                      
 10 10/26/2011 Away    L    48.05   7  47    A   6 ( 85- 26-  0) CB St Albert          -29.32    -10.68                      
 11 08/24/2012 Home    W    72.39  48  24    A  52 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley         -4.98     28.98                      
 12 08/31/2012 Away    W    90.04  41  14    8  24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford                12.67     14.33                      
 13 09/07/2012 Home    W   105.77  48   7   2A  39 ( 38- 56-  0) Clarinda               28.40     12.60                      
 14 09/14/2012 Away    W *  89.01  54  16   1A  48 ( 34- 59-  0) Colfax-Mingo           11.64     26.36                      
 15 09/21/2012 Away    W    87.51  25   7   2A  37 ( 44- 48-  0) Des Moines Christian   10.13      7.87                      
 16 09/28/2012 Home    W   103.87  25  13   1A   3 (101- 19-  0) Van Meter              26.49    -14.49                      
 17 10/05/2012 Home    W *  83.61  41  24   1A  33 ( 47- 47-  0) Leon Central Decatur    6.24     10.76                      
 18 10/12/2012 Away    W    82.28  19   7    A  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Ogden                   4.90      7.10                      
 19 10/19/2012 Home    W * 101.58  45  29   1A   8 ( 69- 37-  0) Pella Christian        24.20     -8.20                      
 20 10/24/2012 Home    W    62.98  28   7   1A  51 ( 18- 72-  0) West Central Valley   -14.39     35.39                      
 21 10/29/2012 Home    W    73.73  21  14    A  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Ogden                  -3.64     10.64                      
 22 11/02/2012 Away    L    60.05   0  28    A   6 ( 85- 26-  0) CB St Albert          -17.32    -10.68                      
 23 08/30/2013 Away    W    95.94  44   0    A  52 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley         18.56     25.44  ND                  
 24 09/06/2013 Home    W    88.50  42  13    8  24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford                11.12     17.88  ND                  
 25 09/13/2013 Away    W    80.31  15   3   2A  39 ( 38- 56-  0) Clarinda                2.94      9.06  ND                  
 26 09/20/2013 Home    W *  95.47  61  13   1A  48 ( 34- 59-  0) Colfax-Mingo           18.09     29.91                      
 27 09/27/2013 Home    W   100.96  35   0   2A  37 ( 44- 48-  0) Des Moines Christian   23.59     11.41                      
 28 10/04/2013 Away    L    81.41   0  14   1A   3 (101- 19-  0) Van Meter               4.03    -18.03                      
 29 10/11/2013 Away    W *  91.16  34  13   1A  33 ( 47- 47-  0) Leon Central Decatur   13.78      7.22                      
 30 10/18/2013 Home    L    57.73  22  31    A  30 ( 48- 48-  0) Ogden                 -19.64     10.64                      
 31 10/25/2013 Away    W * 117.12  35   7   1A   8 ( 69- 37-  0) Pella Christian        39.74    -11.74                      
 32 10/30/2013 Away    W   107.72  30   7   1A  16 ( 68- 31-  0) Panora Panorama        30.34     -7.34                      
 33 11/04/2013 Away    L    75.41  14  34   1A   3 (101- 19-  0) Van Meter              -1.97    -18.03                      
 34 08/29/2014 Away    L    45.41   8  39   2A  26 ( 63- 41-  0) Albia                 -31.97      0.97                      
 35 09/05/2014 Away    W    84.44  42  14   2A  50 ( 30- 61-  0) Shenandoah              7.06     20.94                      
 36 09/12/2014 Home    W    64.30  63  22   ZZ  61 (  5- 68-  0) Clarinda Academy      -13.08     54.08                      
 37 09/19/2014 Home    W    97.22  62  12    8  41 ( 33- 58-  0) Martensdale-St Marys   19.85     30.15                      
 38 09/26/2014 Away    W    79.94  42  14    A  52 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley          2.56     25.44                      
 39 10/03/2014 Home    W    83.50  38  14    8  24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford                 6.12     17.88                      
 40 10/10/2014 Away    W    93.32  49  26    A  29 ( 54- 44-  0) Earlham                15.95      7.05                      
 41 10/17/2014 Home    W * 119.66  61   7   1A  35 ( 52- 43-  0) Pleasantville          42.29     11.71                      
 42 10/24/2014 Home    W   122.12  79   0    8  46 ( 40- 55-  0) Southeast Warren       44.74     34.26                      
 43 10/29/2014 Home    W * 103.47  63   7   1A  48 ( 34- 59-  0) Colfax-Mingo           26.09     29.91                      
 44 11/03/2014 Home    W    64.00  45  14   1A  53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren   -13.38     44.38                      
 45 11/07/2014 Home    W   110.78  52   8    A  29 ( 54- 44-  0) Earlham                33.40     10.60                      
 46 11/14/2014 Neutral L    63.39   7  28    A   8 ( 73- 33-  0) Logan-Magnolia        -13.99     -7.01                      
 47 08/28/2015 Home    L    42.87   6  36   2A  26 ( 63- 41-  0) Albia                 -34.51      4.51  ND                  
 48 09/04/2015 Home    L    51.89  18  19   2A  50 ( 30- 61-  0) Shenandoah            -25.48     24.48  ND                  
 49 09/11/2015 Away    W    67.84  41   0   ZZ  61 (  5- 68-  0) Clarinda Academy       -9.53     50.53                      
 50 09/18/2015 Away    W   113.77  63   0    8  41 ( 33- 58-  0) Martensdale-St Marys   36.39     26.61                      
 51 09/25/2015 Home    W   109.39  61   0    A  52 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley         32.02     28.98                      
 52 10/02/2015 Away    W    91.04  41  13    8  24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford                13.67     14.33                      
 53 10/09/2015 Home    W   108.78  42   0    A  29 ( 54- 44-  0) Earlham                31.40     10.60                      
 54 10/16/2015 Away    W *  79.21  24  14   1A  35 ( 52- 43-  0) Pleasantville           1.83      8.17                      
 55 10/23/2015 Away    W    80.66  46  12    8  46 ( 40- 55-  0) Southeast Warren        3.29     30.71                      
 56 10/28/2015 Home    W    84.50  37  12    8  24 ( 48- 44-  0) Bedford                 7.12     17.88                      
 57 11/02/2015 Home    W *  69.47  42  20   1A  48 ( 34- 59-  0) Colfax-Mingo           -7.91     29.91                      
 58 11/06/2015 Home    W    87.26  34  15    A  25 ( 61- 39-  0) Lynnville-Sully         9.88      9.12                      
 59 11/13/2015 Neutral L    72.03  35  36    A  22 ( 58- 45-  0) Akron-Westfield        -5.34      4.34                      
 60 08/26/2016 Home    W    83.39  35   0    A  52 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley          6.02     28.98  Game ended after 2 quarters by mutual agreement of coaches weather ND
 61 09/02/2016 Away    W    74.06  27  17    A  40 ( 38- 36-  0) Southwest Valley       -3.31     13.31  ND                  
 62 09/09/2016 Away    L *  54.16  13  29   1A  33 ( 47- 47-  0) Leon Central Decatur  -23.22      7.22                      
 63 09/16/2016 Home    W    68.85  34   7    A  58 ( 12- 70-  0) Woodward Academy       -8.53     35.53                      
 64 09/23/2016 Home    L *  37.58  14  62   1A   8 ( 69- 37-  0) Pella Christian       -39.80     -8.20                      
 65 09/30/2016 Away    L *  29.21   0  40   1A  35 ( 52- 43-  0) Pleasantville         -48.17      8.17                      
 66 10/07/2016 Home    W    89.87  28  14   1A  20 ( 62- 35-  0) Woodward-Granger       12.49      1.51                      
 67 10/14/2016 Away    W    90.51  49  28   2A  37 ( 44- 48-  0) Des Moines Christian   13.13      7.87                      
 68 10/21/2016 Home    L *  51.39  12  27   1A  34 ( 47- 46-  0) Truro Interstate-35   -25.99     10.99                      
 69 08/25/2017 Away    W   101.94  58   8    A  52 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley         24.56     25.44  ND                  
 70 09/01/2017 Home    L    52.52   6  14    A  40 ( 38- 36-  0) Southwest Valley      -24.85     16.85  ND                  
 71 09/08/2017 Home    L *  54.61  22  34   1A  33 ( 47- 47-  0) Leon Central Decatur  -22.76     10.76                      
 72 09/15/2017 Away    W    61.39  48  32    A  58 ( 12- 70-  0) Woodward Academy      -15.98     31.98                      
 73 09/22/2017 Away    L *  47.12  14  56   1A   8 ( 69- 37-  0) Pella Christian       -30.26    -11.74                      
 74 09/29/2017 Home    L *  52.66  20  33   1A  35 ( 52- 43-  0) Pleasantville         -24.71     11.71                      
 75 10/06/2017 Away    L    63.41   6  22   1A  20 ( 62- 35-  0) Woodward-Granger      -13.96     -2.04                      
 76 10/13/2017 Home    W   119.96  54   0   2A  37 ( 44- 48-  0) Des Moines Christian   42.59     11.41                      
 77 10/20/2017 Away    L *  60.93  25  34   1A  34 ( 47- 46-  0) Truro Interstate-35   -16.44      7.44                      
 78 08/24/2018 Away    W    87.94  36   0    A  52 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley         10.56     25.44  ND                  
 79 08/31/2018 Home    L *  51.39  13  28   1A  34 ( 47- 46-  0) Truro Interstate-35   -25.99     10.99  ND                  
 80 09/07/2018 Away    W *  78.16  20  12   1A  33 ( 47- 47-  0) Leon Central Decatur    0.78      7.22  ND                  
 81 09/14/2018 Home    W    41.83  16  14   2A  54 ( 15- 76-  0) Osceola Clarke        -35.55     37.55  ND                  
 82 09/21/2018 Away    W    70.52  54  29   1A  51 ( 18- 72-  0) West Central Valley    -6.85     31.85                      
 83 09/28/2018 Home    W    89.18  21  13   1A  16 ( 68- 31-  0) Panora Panorama        11.80     -3.80                      
 84 10/05/2018 Home    W    86.77  28   6   2A  39 ( 38- 56-  0) Clarinda                9.40     12.60                      
 85 10/12/2018 Away    L    66.41   6  35   1A   3 (101- 19-  0) Van Meter             -10.97    -18.03                      
 86 10/19/2018 Home    W    84.75  43  14   1A  44 ( 14- 31-  0) Guthrie Center GC-A-    7.37     21.63                      
 87 10/26/2018 Away    L *  34.93   0  35   1A  34 ( 47- 46-  0) Truro Interstate-35   -42.44      7.44                      
 88 08/30/2019 Home    W    70.39  28   6    A  52 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley         -6.98     28.98  ND                  
 89 09/06/2019 Away    W *  72.93   3   0   1A  34 ( 47- 46-  0) Truro Interstate-35    -4.44      7.44  ND                  
 90 09/13/2019 Home    W * 101.61  49  14   1A  33 ( 47- 47-  0) Leon Central Decatur   24.24     10.76  ND                  
 91 09/20/2019 Away    W    85.37  49   7   2A  54 ( 15- 76-  0) Osceola Clarke          7.99     34.01  ND                  
 92 09/27/2019 Home    W    82.98  41   0   1A  51 ( 18- 72-  0) West Central Valley     5.61     35.39  called at halftime due to lightning
 93 10/04/2019 Away    L    76.72   6  14   1A  16 ( 68- 31-  0) Panora Panorama        -0.66     -7.34                      
 94 10/11/2019 Away    W   100.31  35   3   2A  39 ( 38- 56-  0) Clarinda               22.94      9.06                      
 95 10/18/2019 Home    L    63.87   0  28   1A   3 (101- 19-  0) Van Meter             -13.51    -14.49                      
 96 10/25/2019 Away    W    82.29  39  16   1A  44 ( 14- 31-  0) Guthrie Center GC-A-    4.91     18.09                      
 97 11/01/2019 Away    L    58.93  22  56   1A   4 ( 80- 28-  0) South Cent Calhoun    -18.44    -15.56                      
 98 08/28/2020 Home    W   101.87  36   7   2A  26 ( 63- 41-  0) Albia                  24.49      4.51  ND                  
 99 09/04/2020 Away    W    79.94  41  13    A  52 ( 29- 64-  0) Nodaway Valley          2.56     25.44  ND                  
100 09/11/2020 Away    L *  63.21   7  13   1A  35 ( 52- 43-  0) Pleasantville         -14.17      8.17                      
101 09/18/2020 Home    W *  96.47  57   8   1A  48 ( 34- 59-  0) Colfax-Mingo           19.09     29.91                      
102 09/25/2020 Home    W * 106.58  28   7   1A   8 ( 69- 37-  0) Pella Christian        29.20     -8.20                      
103 10/02/2020 Away    W *  89.93  26   6   1A  34 ( 47- 46-  0) Truro Interstate-35    12.56      7.44                      
104 10/09/2020 Away    W *  77.16  21  14   1A  33 ( 47- 47-  0) Leon Central Decatur   -0.22      7.22                      
105 10/23/2020 Home    W *  72.39  20  14   1A  34 ( 47- 46-  0) Truro Interstate-35    -4.99     10.99                      
106 10/30/2020 Home    L    45.81  17  42   1A  30 ( 51- 46-  0) Underwood             -31.57      6.57                      
      Averages              77.47  31.5 18.0

Best game:  122.12 = 79 point win over Liberty Center Southeast Warren
Worst game:  29.21 = 40 point loss to Pleasantville
Team stdev:  21.15